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ANY ISSUES - admin@ncwrestlingscoutreport.com => High School Wrestling => Topic started by: Longdayrunner on November 23, 2020, 08:26:03 AM

Title: HiS OT Realignment Projections: Forecasting the 2021-2025 NCHSAA classifications
Post by: Longdayrunner on November 23, 2020, 08:26:03 AM
Maybe way to early to discuss since there is a timeline of events that will occur before these are approved, but this will shake up the Wrestling Regionals Team Assignments.  Excerpts from the article below.  Click on the 3A West and imagine the 3A Mid West and West Regionals.  Then click on the 4A West and imagine the 4A Mid West and West Regionals.  The 4A West Regional would no longer be a "cake walk".

HighSchoolOT Realignment Projections: Forecasting the 2021-2025 NCHSAA classifications
Tags: realignment, NC High School Athletic Association
Posted November 22, 2020 12:00 p.m. EST

https://www.highschoolot.com/highschoolot-realignment-projections-forecasting-the-2021-2025-nchsaa-classifications/19397169/

By Nick Stevens, HighSchoolOT managing editor

RALEIGH, N.C. — The N.C. High School Athletic Association announced the protocol for the 2021-2025 realignment last week, which will be much different than previous realignment processes.

For this alignment period, which begins next fall, the NCHSAA will not rely solely on enrollment figures to determine classifications. Instead, enrollment numbers will account for 50 percent of a realignment score, which will determine where schools land. The other two parts of the realignment score include a three-year average of state cup standings and a three-year average of Identified Student Percentages, which is the percentage of students at a school that receive government assistance as established by the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Using the formula set by the NCHSAA, HighSchoolOT has been able to project the classifications for the upcoming realignment. Here's what you need to know before looking at the projections:

First, the NCHSAA has set regional boundaries for the east and west ahead of the realignment, which is a new process. The east-west boundary runs from Caswell County, south through Alamance County, Chatham County, Moore County, and Richmond County. Everything from that line east will be in the east, while everything west of those counties will be in the west. Schools will be assigned to classifications based on the realignment scores of other schools in their respective regions and conferences will be assigned based on those regions.

Each of the four classifications will be split evenly in 25 percent sections. In the west, each classification will have 54 teams. In the east, each classification will have 52 teams, except the 1A classification where there will be 53 teams.

These projections require a lot of data points and mathematical formulas. We are not releasing all of the raw data, but we are including each school's projected ADM score, projected state cup score, projected ISP score, and the projected realignment score. This will allow users to see where changes in the realignment score come from. For example, schools that have had a lot of state cup success over the last three years will see a bump in their realignment score, while schools that have a higher ISP score will see less of a bump.

Title: Re: HiS OT Realignment Projections: Forecasting the 2021-2025 NCHSAA classifications
Post by: Longdayrunner on December 11, 2020, 06:53:24 AM
Unprecedented number of split conferences in first NCHSAA realignment draft

https://www.highschoolot.com/unprecedented-number-of-split-conferences-in-first-nchsaa-realignment-draft/19422401/

Updated December 10, 2020 9:50 a.m. EST

(Check out the new HS alignments and think about the changes to the Individual Regional Tournament as well as the Dual Team Tournament)

HIGH SCHOOL SPORTS
Unprecedented number of split conferences in first NCHSAA realignment draft
Tags: NC High School Athletic Association, NCHSAA Board of Directors, realignment
Posted December 10, 2020 9:17 a.m. EST
Updated December 10, 2020 9:50 a.m. EST

NCHSAA Generic Logo
By Nick Stevens, HighSchoolOT managing editor

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. — High schools across North Carolina have a better idea of what their conferences will look like over the next four years as the N.C. High School Athletic Association released the first draft of the 2021-2025 realignment on Thursday.

This draft of new conferences is only the first attempt at creating leagues for the new realignment period. Schools will have their first of a handful of opportunities to appeal for changes in January.

The most notable change when looking at the conferences is the drastic increase in the number of split conferences — leagues that are comprised of teams from different classifications. A total of 33 of the 61 new conferences are split conferences, which appear designed to keep teams closer to home in conference play.

“The number of ‘split conferences’ in this alignment draft represents the Realignment Committee’s desire not to limit those,” said NCHSAA Commissioner Que Tucker. “It also takes into consideration the protection of natural rivalries and strongly considers geography and travel time. Of course, this means the way of getting into the playoffs must be reviewed and updated. That will come later.”

In the previous realignment, the NCHSAA made an effort to reduce the number of split conferences and only use them in places where there weren't other options. This year, there are a total of 10 split conferences.

“I am grateful for the commitment and input of the Realignment Committee to faithfully represent the membership in their respective regions during this process. I am also thankful for the hard work of our staff members who diligently worked to meet the established deadlines, while continuing to service the other needs of the membership," Tucker said.

Here is the upcoming realignment timeline:

Jan. 8: Deadline for schools to submit concerns or suggested changes.
Jan. 13: Realignment Committee meets to review submissions.
Jan. 14: Second draft of the realignment released
Jan. 21: Deadline for schools to submit appeals to the second draft.
Jan. 27: Eastern region appeals heard by Realignment Committee
Jan. 28: Western region appeals heard by Realignment Committee
Feb. 3: Realignment Committee meets to consider appeals of second draft.
Feb. 4: Realignment Committee issues third draft
Feb. 10: If necessary, deadline for schools to submit final appeals.
Feb. 17: If necessary, Realignment Committee meets to review final appeals and submit proposal to the NCHSAA Board of Directors.
March: On a date that has not yet been determined, the board of the directors will meet and vote on the proposal from the Realignment Committee.
Aug. 1: The new realignment will effect
How this year's realignment was determined
Unlike previous years, the NCHSAA did not use only the enrollment figures for each school to determine which classification a school would belong to for the next four years. Average daily membership numbers, the enrollment data used by the NCHSAA, are still the top consideration for realignment, but two other data points were added to the mix this year.

The NCHSAA announced last month that the board of directors approved a proposal that would include the 2019-2020 average daily membership numbers, as well as a three-year average of the state cup points for each school, and a three-year average of the Identified Student Percentage figures for each school. The state cup points represent overall athletic department success, while the ISP numbers represent the percentage of students at a school receiving some form of government assistance.

Last week, the NCHSAA announced that the highest annual data point for each school would be removed from the formula. The move was made to account for some major anomalies that occurred due to natural disasters, particularly Hurricane Florence in the eastern part of the state.

The ADM numbers were multiplied by 50 percent to reveal the ADM score. The three-year average of the state cup points were multiplied by 25 percent to arrive at the state cup score. Then the ISP amended two-year average was used to determine a proportional linear distribution, then multiplied by 25 percent to get the ISP score. Once all the scores are determined, they are added together to reach the realignment score.

Schools are then separated into east and west regions, which are determined ahead of time based on the county in which the school is located.

Once the schools are placed in their regions, they are divided into classifications based on their final realignment score. The largest 25 percent were placed in 4A in their respective region, followed by the next largest 25 percent in 3A, and so on. Conferences were also created based on the regions. No teams from the east region are in conferences with teams from the west region.
Title: Re: HiS OT Realignment Projections: Forecasting the 2021-2025 NCHSAA classifications
Post by: Longdayrunner on December 11, 2020, 07:20:51 AM
Major changes coming for Charlotte schools in athletic conferences and classifications
BY LANGSTON WERTZ JR.
DECEMBER 10, 2020 09:28 AM, UPDATED DECEMBER 10, 2020 04:01 PM

https://www.charlotteobserver.com/sports/high-school/article247749840.html

Major changes are coming for Charlotte-area high schools if the first draft of the N.C. High School Athletic Association conference realignment proposal stands up.

Two longtime Mecklenburg County 4A schools, West Charlotte and West Mecklenburg, will drop to 3A, but will play in new 4A leagues.

Two reigning 3A state football champions, Weddington and Charlotte Catholic, will move to 4A and no longer play in the same conference.

The draft, created by the NCHSAA staff, seeks to place teams into conferences for four years beginning in the fall of 2021.

The NCHSAA said its Realignment Committee made “significant efforts” to focus on factors that were most important to the association’s 421 member schools. That led to the creation of 33 split conferences out of 61 new leagues. Split conferences includes teams from more than one classification. There are currently 10 split conferences throughout the state.

“The number of ‘split conferences’ in this alignment draft represents the Realignment Committee’s desire not to limit those,” NCHSAA commissioner Que Tucker said. “It also takes into consideration the protection of natural rivalries and strongly considers geography and travel time. Of course, this means the way of getting into the playoffs must be reviewed and updated. That will come later.”

Instead of just dividing schools by size, the NCHSAA employed a new system for realignment that uses three factors: Enrollment, athletic success by the school’s teams over the past three years, and the Identified Student Percentage — the percentage of the school’s students receiving free or reduced-price lunches.

Schools will have several opportunities to appeal and make suggestions in January and February before the NCHSAA Board of Directors votes on a final proposal in March.

New West Charlotte football coach Sam Greiner doesn’t need to wait until then. He said he is excited about the first draft.

West Charlotte has 1,577 students, which would make it the largest 3A school in the state. West Mecklenburg has 1,262 students.

Some schools in West Charlotte’s old conference, the I-MECK 4A, had more than 2,500 students, including Hough and Mallard Creek.

Greiner thinks his playing field was leveled in a big way. He thinks the new NCHSAA realignment system will put the Lions in a better position to compete, particularly in the playoffs, with teams in a similar weight class.

“Moving down to 3A is fantastic opportunity for West Charlotte to establish themselves, especially getting a new school (building) next year,” Greiner said. “And it’s a great time to rebuild a great tradition that’s been at West Charlotte for many years. I think we needed to be in a similar environment like 3A, where other people have the same struggles we have, and it makes it very competitive now. I’m extremely happy about the decision and ready to get to work.”

While West Charlotte and West Mecklenburg are moving down, Charlotte Catholic and Weddington — the state’s two preeminent 3A football powers — are moving up.

The NCHSAA currently subdivides its football state champions in each class, by enrollment. Smaller schools play in a Single-A playoff; larger schools in a Double-A format.

Last December, Charlotte Catholic won its third straight 3A state championship. Weddington repeated in 3AA.

Under the new proposal, Weddington will remain in the old Southern Carolinas 3A conference with Union County rivals Cuthbertson, Marvin Ridge, Piedmont, Porter Ridge and Sun Valley. All of those schools are moving up into 4A, except Porter Ridge. It had previously been in the Mecklenburg County-centric Southwestern 4A.

That Union County league had dominated state titles across many sports in 3A, but will now face stiffer competition against larger schools.

“We knew that Marvin Ridge would be moving up to 4A and most of our conference would as well,” Marvin Ridge athletic director Tom Jamerson said. “We prefer the geographical schools in our conference because it adds to gate revenues, less travel and less missed class time. I do think both are possible, but it will never be perfect. I have been an AD in three different states and each was different. ... In Texas, the state athletic association set the district conferences for you and, in Illinois, the IHSA allowed everyone to form their own conferences. Both have their pluses and minuses.”

▪ Charlotte Catholic, which had also been in the Southern Carolinas, would move into what is now the Southwestern 4A, joining Butler, East Mecklenburg, Independence, Myers Park and Rocky River.

Providence, which had been in the SoMECK 7, also moves into that league.

“(Playing) 4A is just a different beast,” Charlotte Catholic athletic director Kevin Christmas said. “It’s more physical and now you’re going to do that, day-in and day-out. I think we’re up for the challenge.”

Charlotte Catholic has played in the 4A class before, and won the 2015 N.C. 4A state football championship. The Cougars lost in the 2014 4A final. In 2016, Catholic won the N.C. 4A state basketball title.

Catholic’s proposed new league would include the largest school in the state (Myers Park, 3,688 students). With 1,187 students, Catholic will be one of the smaller 4A schools.

“I think that we will compete and we’ll give it everything that we can,” Christmas said. “The cards are little in favor of them in terms of enrollment numbers, but you know we’ll just try to persevere. We’re excited.”

▪ West Charlotte and West Mecklenburg would join a new version of the SoMECK 7, playing as 3A teams in a 4A conference with Ardrey Kell, Berry, Harding, Olympic and South Mecklenburg.

▪ The I-MECK 4A, perhaps the state’s toughest football and basketball league, will lose Lake Norman and Mooresville under the proposal. Garinger would join the conference, which would now include Hopewell, Hough, Mallard Creek, North Mecklenburg and Vance.

Lake Norman and Mooresville would join a league with AL Brown, Cox Mill, Hickory RIdge, South Iredell and the new West Cabarrus High.

That would mean all three conferences — the old I-MECK, Southwestern and SoMECK — would only include Mecklenburg County teams.

Hough High athletic director Masanori Toguchi, a member of the NCHSAA Board of Directors, is fine with the proposed changes.

He’s just not sure they’ll be the final ones.

“I’ve been through two or three realignments,” he said. “The first draft always changes. I’ve never seen first draft be the final draft. But, for Hough, losing Lake Norman and Mooresville is huge. That’s some of our natural rivalries, but we had talked about if we get broken up, we’ll continue to play out of conference. As far as Garinger, they were in a tough conference. We’ve been a tough conference historically. But it gives us another opponent. I haven’t played Garinger since we opened (in 2010).

“But I don’t think this will be the final draft. I don’t think so. But it could be. ... I just want to play whomever they tell we’ve got to play.”

(Click on the article link below to see the New Conference Splits Proposals)

https://www.highschoolot.com/unprecedented-number-of-split-conferences-in-first-nchsaa-realignment-draft/19422401/